Assumption modeling for consistent scenarios

Forecasts drift when assumptions aren’t explicit. We build an assumption framework with owners, ranges, and definitions so teams can compare scenarios consistently.

Service overview

We help teams define assumptions as a first-class part of planning: what’s being assumed, who owns it, and how it’s reviewed. The output is a consistent assumptions table and scenario mechanism that keeps comparisons meaningful over time.

Definitions

What the driver means and how it’s measured.

Ownership

Who updates each assumption and when.

Comparability

Scenarios that can be compared month to month.

Common problems solved

  • Scenarios can’t be compared because assumptions changed silently
  • Inputs live in multiple tabs and aren’t clearly owned
  • Definitions drift across teams and reports
  • Forecast reviews focus on outputs, not drivers

What implementation includes

Assumptions framework

  • Assumptions table with owners, ranges, and notes
  • Definition and measurement guidance
  • Scenario structure for consistent comparisons

Cadence + documentation

  • Monthly assumptions review checklist
  • Versioning approach for changes over time
  • Templates for explaining assumption updates

Typical outcomes

More consistency

Scenarios remain comparable across time.

Cleaner reviews

Teams discuss drivers instead of spreadsheet logic.

Better ownership

Inputs have clear owners and refresh cadence.

Decision-support and unlicensed services

This engagement focuses on clarifying and modeling assumptions for internal planning. We explain and model; we do not provide tax, legal, audit/assurance, or investment advice, and we do not recommend regulated actions.